Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 235.695716 265.434160 298.377649 337.737743 383.692180 435.899424 500.052909
2025-03-30 186.934807 224.980858 270.773244 330.562550 407.474184 504.340067 637.593897
2025-04-06 161.539781 202.966628 255.620612 328.616235 429.064935 565.294064 769.135235
2025-04-13 138.896601 180.104116 234.632951 313.723904 428.361067 593.177372 857.196924
2025-04-20 129.813153 173.446633 233.460186 324.428691 463.256469 675.015731 1039.155008
2025-04-27 123.276754 169.201223 234.611203 337.854928 503.191472 770.021508 1261.813602
2025-05-04 114.446278 160.561734 228.154328 338.497660 522.545734 834.352814 1445.269378
2025-05-11 104.617548 149.417021 216.641858 329.491233 524.264169 868.193572 1578.884442
2025-05-18 96.620582 140.276397 207.220676 322.560157 528.148664 905.835905 1727.816745
2025-05-25 93.153700 137.767486 207.883318 332.340479 562.624022 1005.855081 2032.472369
2025-06-01 88.069841 132.242816 203.089302 332.007030 578.183149 1071.296012 2277.401692
2025-06-08 82.509930 125.504578 195.666323 326.098101 582.087539 1113.207131 2477.362178
2025-06-15 78.594111 121.275367 192.284674 327.505634 601.288814 1192.783189 2801.665342
2025-06-22 73.695105 115.064011 184.995930 320.855663 603.221123 1234.623010 3039.600153
2025-06-29 70.009173 110.640826 180.465189 318.964761 614.820915 1301.013596 3370.956986
2025-07-06 64.814790 103.277750 170.119962 304.607275 597.390577 1294.015668 3477.192179
2025-07-13 63.551257 102.686839 172.007161 314.928731 636.441285 1436.374610 4119.888223
2025-07-20 62.685376 102.723708 175.027220 327.870184 683.561625 1611.077983 4959.375103
2025-07-27 60.310963 99.873463 172.356884 328.489597 701.332679 1709.448506 5565.720662
2025-08-03 57.003866 95.118403 165.687914 319.809004 694.931217 1737.034801 5902.821405
2025-08-10 54.168528 91.081279 160.154120 313.127311 692.758005 1777.156105 6316.191194
2025-08-17 53.305686 90.677894 161.749492 322.555386 733.793912 1960.803353 7488.943409
2025-08-24 51.455981 88.292751 159.197750 322.233985 748.802669 2064.983509 8348.817845